Argentina has officially banned Polymarket, a popular crypto-based prediction market platform, as regulators intensify efforts to clamp down on unlicensed online betting. Furthermore, the move places Argentina among a growing list of countries taking action against platforms that blur the line between forecasting and gambling.
Authorities Cite Illegal Gambling Concerns
Authorities say Polymarket operated as an illegal betting service without proper licensing. Regulators also raised concerns that the platform allowed access to minors, further strengthening the case for a nationwide ban.
Notably, the crackdown followed a controversial incident involving Argentina’s February inflation data. Reports indicate that Polymarket predicted a 2.9% inflation rate before the official release and then adjusted its forecast just minutes before the announcement. Moreover, this sequence raised suspicions among authorities, who questioned whether the platform had access to privileged information or manipulated its markets.
In response, a court in Buenos Aires instructed the telecom regulator ENACOM to work with internet service providers to block access to the platform. Officials also directed major app stores to remove Polymarket, effectively cutting off access for users across the country.
Therefore, regulators concluded that Polymarket functioned as a betting system disguised as a prediction tool. Based on this finding, they imposed strict enforcement measures to prevent further activity within Argentina.
Global Crackdown on Prediction Platforms
The ban also comes shortly after Polymarket faced backlash for hosting a controversial market tied to nuclear weapon risks during a period of rising geopolitical tensions. The platform eventually removed the market following public criticism.
Notably, Argentina’s decision reflects a broader global trend. Governments across multiple regions have started to scrutinize prediction market platforms more closely. In Latin America, Colombia previously blocked Polymarket, citing similar concerns about illegal gambling operations.
In the United States, regulators have also increased pressure. Kalshi, another prediction platform, has faced legal challenges, including lawsuits over alleged unregulated betting services and disputes over unpaid wagers.
Nonetheless, as regulators tighten oversight, the future of prediction markets remains uncertain. For now, Argentina’s decisive action signals that authorities will not tolerate platforms operating outside established legal frameworks.
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