Bitcoin exchange‑traded funds (ETFs) are proving more resilient and popular than many analysts expected. While Bitcoin’s price has pulled back sharply from last year’s peak, the total net inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs remain robust at about $53 billion.
According to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, the inflow significantly surpassed early industry forecasts that anticipated more modest demand. The numbers highlight a structural shift in how Bitcoin fits into global financial markets.
Bitcoin ETFs’ cumulative net inflows (the most imp number) peaked at +$63b in October. Today it’s +$53b. That’s NET NET +$53b in only two years. Our (more bullish than most of our peers) prediction was $5-15b in first year. This is imp context to consider when looking/writing… pic.twitter.com/C966U1gf94
— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) February 19, 2026
From Early Estimates to Current Results
Spot Bitcoin ETFs first hit the market with cautious optimism from many observers. Some bullish analysts forecasted only $5–15 billion in net inflows in the first year. So, the reality of accumulating tens of billions is a big surprise. In fact, at its high point in October 2025, cumulative net inflows peaked near $63 billion.
This underscores just how much capital was poured into these funds during periods of strong Bitcoin price momentum. Even after about $8 billion left due to Bitcoin dropping roughly 45% from its peak, net inflows remain around $53 billion. The momentum signals that institutional and retail investors alike view regulated ETF exposure as a preferred way to access Bitcoin.
Furthermore, the broader context matters here. Spot Bitcoin ETF flows tend to reflect institutional appetite more than short‑term traders. When markets turned negative late last year, some capital exited these products. Despite this, their overall footprint remains large compared with many newer crypto investment vehicles. Even with periodic outflows in recent months, the product continues to play a major role in how professional investors access the crypto market.
Institutional Adoption and Strategic BTC Purchases
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, and other issuers have been central to the ETF inflow trend. They have drawn the majority of these net inflows over time, helping ETFs become a key way for institutions to gain regulated exposure to Bitcoin. This encourages pension funds, hedge funds, and wealth managers to invest through ETFs rather than holding the asset directly.
Beyond ETFs, Strategy, under the leadership of Michael Saylor, continues to aggressively buy bitcoin even amid broader market volatility. Recently, the company added to its BTC treasury, boosting its total holdings to 717,131 BTC.
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